WAR WARNING Israel and Iran AND Pakistan and India- world news tweets- bill collier

4. May 2009 by admin.

WorldNewsTweets On Twitter

Reliability Code- 3 of 5 Probability code- 4 of 10 likelihood of imminent war

William R Collier Jr The Freedomist is issuing a WAR WARNING of medium probability for BOTH Israel and Iran and Pakistan and India, with the threat of war erupting in BOTH cases being low, 20%, or of one of the two at 40% likelihood. We give our information, much of which is on background and from sources and oppopstioon websites in the region, a reliability code of 3 out of 5 overall.

The Freedomist has received unconfirmed, but credible, background information, confirmed by local websites and regional newspapers, that indicates a potential for imminent conflict between Israel and Iran which could erupt within 2 to 14 days. Our sources, and open sources, point to a potential for a sudden Israeli missile and air strike with sub-launched missiles as well as land based missiles against Iranian missile sites, nuclear sites, and command and control facilities along with a “raid in force” aimed at targets in Lebanon and Syria.

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The attack may be a response to intelligence that seems to indicate a potential Iranian sponsored attack from Hezbollah, Hamas, and a new Syrian front group that is demanding the return of the Golan heights. The objective of this attack appears to be to once again shift the focus from Iran’s weapons program to Israel’s diplomatic situation. It is predicted, by our own analysis, that a sensational rocket and missile attack along with a terrorist act is envisioned, with Tel Aviv as the target. Tel Aviv would be chosen as a target to prove the ability of the Muslim forces to strike “anywhere” in Israel they chose.

A few factors are at play here., concern that Iran is planning a larger “summer offensive” such as they did in 1996, concern that Iran is close to achieving nuclear power status, and concern on both sides that the window of opportunity to act is limited, Israeli fears that Obama will move further to isolate Israel as he shifts US policy towards a pro-Iran and Pro-Arab stance, and fears by Iran and the Arab powers that if Obama’s popularity slides they may lose their window of opportunity to attack whole Obama is still able to impose his new, but unofficial, policies in the face of opposition from the pro-Israel lobby.

On May 3, 2009, Iran’s foreign minister Manouchehr Mottaki announced the Iranian president would be visiting Brazil, Venezuela and Ecuador from May 7 to 8 which was suspected to be about getting nuclear fuel from Brazil and establishing links with hosted Islamic groups in Venezuela. Today, the tour was postponed “indefinitely” without explanation.

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Israeli forces have called up limited reserves, among whom missile defense forces, and sources inside Israel believe that the “war machine” is coming to life, with a focus on Air Force and Missile Defense personnel and equipment being prepared.

Meanwhile, the United States military, according to Debka, and as confirmed by regional anti-Iranian sources, is negotiating a deal in which US forces would use the Chah-Bahar naval base to offload equipment and personnel as reinforcements to Afghanistan.

In a related alert, we predicted that the Mumbai attacks were designed to undermine the Pakistani government and that if the Pakistani government did not respond vigorously, it was probable that the extremists forces, including the Talban, would take over the country which would result in a Pakistani-Indian war. Iranian, Russian, and possible Saudi Arabian arms and supports are pouring into Afghanistan and Pakistan, via the same route US planners hope to use to resupply US forces and it is possible that the US is considering a hasty exist, if the Pakistani government falls, and some form of de facto recognition of the new status quo as well as withdrawal of support from Israel in case of war as long as Iran allows US troops to leave.

It now appears that the Pakistani government, undermined by its own intelligence services and special forces, as well as elements of the military who are afraid of opposing the advancing insurgents (apparently they are receiving threats against their families).

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IF the Israeli President, Shimon Peres, cancels or cuts short his trip tomorrow, where the Obama administration is likely to make demands on Israel that soind more like they were written by the Arab League than any US government, we would raise the war warning to 60% likelihood of imminent war between Israel and Iran.

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